• Burden of disease scenarios by state in the USA, 2022–50: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Ali H, Mokdad; Bisignano, Catherine; Hsu, Johnathan M; Bryazka, Dana; Cao, Shujin; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      BackgroundThe capacity to anticipate future health issues is important for both policy makers and practitioners in the USA, as such insights can facilitate effective planning, investment, and implementation strategies. ...
    • Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Stein Emil, Vollset; Ababneh, Hazim S; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abbafati, Cristiana; Abbasgholizadeh, Rouzbeh; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      BackgroundFuture trends in disease burden and drivers of health are of great interest to policy makers and the public at large. This information can be used for policy and long-term health investment, planning, and ...
    • Changing life expectancy in European countries 1990–2021: a subanalysis of causes and risk factors from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Nicholas, Steel; Bauer-Staeb, Clarissa Maria Mercedes; Ford, John A; Abbafati, Cristiana; Abdalla, Mohammed Altigani; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2025 , Article)
      BackgroundDecades of steady improvements in life expectancy in Europe slowed down from around 2011, well before the COVID-19 pandemic, for reasons which remain disputed. We aimed to assess how changes in risk factors and ...
    • Global age-sex-specific all-cause mortality and life expectancy estimates for 204 countries and territories and 660 subnational locations, 1950–2023: a demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 

      Austin E, Schumacher; Zheng, Peng; Barber, Ryan M; A, Bhoomadevi; Aalipour, Mohammad Amin; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2025 , fla  &   Article)
      BackgroundComprehensive, comparable, and timely estimates of demographic metrics—including life expectancy and age-specific mortality—are essential for evaluating, understanding, and addressing trends in population health. ...
    • Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Michael, Brauer; Roth, Gregory A; Aravkin, Aleksandr Y; Zheng, Peng; Abate, Kalkidan Hassen; ... more authors ( Elsevier Ltd. , 2024 , Article)
      Background: Understanding the health consequences associated with exposure to risk factors is necessary to inform public health policy and practice. To systematically quantify the contributions of risk factor exposures to ...
    • Global burden of 292 causes of death in 204 countries and territories and 660 subnational locations, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 

      Mohsen, Naghavi; Kyu, Hmwe Hmwe; A, Bhoomadevi; Aalipour, Mohammad Amin; Aalruz, Hasan; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2025 , fla  &   Article)
      BackgroundTimely and comprehensive analyses of causes of death stratified by age, sex, and location are essential for shaping effective health policies aimed at reducing global mortality. The Global Burden of Diseases, ...
    • Global burden of vision impairment due to age-related macular degeneration, 1990–2021, with forecasts to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Yi Deun, Jeong; Park, Seoyoung; Kim, Min Seo; Hong, Sung Hwi; Aalruz, Hasan; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2025 , Article)
      BackgroundAge-related macular degeneration (AMD) is a growing public health concern worldwide, as one of the leading causes of vision impairment. We aimed to estimate global, national, and region-specific prevalence and ...
    • Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Natalia V, Bhattacharjee; Schumacher, Austin E; Aali, Amirali; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abbasgholizadeh, Rouzbeh; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      Background Accurate assessments of current and future fertility—including overall trends and changing population age structures across countries and regions—are essential to help plan for the profound social, economic, ...
    • Global incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 371 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Alize J, Ferrari; Santomauro, Damian Francesco; Aali, Amirali; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abbafati, Cristiana; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      Background Detailed, comprehensive, and timely reporting on population health by underlying causes of disability and premature death is crucial to understanding and responding to complex patterns of disease and injury ...
    • Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific burden of diarrhoeal diseases, their risk factors, and aetiologies, 1990–2021, for 204 countries and territories: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Hmwe Hmwe, Kyu; Vongpradith, Avina; Dominguez, Regina-Mae Villanueva; Ma, Jianing; Albertson, Samuel B; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      BackgroundDiarrhoeal diseases claim more than 1 million lives annually and are a leading cause of death in children younger than 5 years. Comprehensive global estimates of the diarrhoeal disease burden for specific age ...
    • Global, regional, and national burden of asthma and atopic dermatitis, 1990–2021, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Oh, Jiyeon; Kim, Soeun; Kim, Min Seo; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abd ElHafeez, Samar; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2025 , Article)
      BackgroundAsthma and atopic dermatitis are common allergic conditions that contribute to substantial health loss, economic burden, and pain across individuals of all ages worldwide. Therefore, as a component of the Global ...
    • Global, regional, and national burden of HIV/AIDS, 1990–2021, and forecasts to 2050, for 204 countries and territories: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Austin, Carter; Zhang, Meixin; Tram, Khai Hoan; Walters, Magdalene K; Jahagirdar, Deepa; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      BackgroundAs set out in Sustainable Development Goal 3.3, the target date for ending the HIV epidemic as a public health threat is 2030. Therefore, there is a crucial need to evaluate current epidemiological trends and ...
    • Global, regional, and national burden of household air pollution, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Fiona B, Bennitt; Wozniak, Sarah; Causey, Kate; Spearman, Sandra; Okereke, Chukwuma; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2025 , Article)
      BackgroundDespite a substantial reduction in the use of solid fuels for cooking worldwide, exposure to household air pollution (HAP) remains a leading global risk factor, contributing considerably to the burden of disease. ...
    • Global, regional, and national burden of upper respiratory infections and otitis media, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Sirota, Sarah Brooke; Doxey, Matthew C; Dominguez, Regina-Mae Villanueva; Bender, Rose Grace; Vongpradith, Avina; ... more authors ( Elsevier Ltd. , 2024 , Article)
      Background: Upper respiratory infections (URIs) are the leading cause of acute disease incidence worldwide and contribute to a substantial health-care burden. Although acute otitis media is a common complication of URIs, ...
    • Global, regional, and national prevalence of adult overweight and obesity, 1990–2021, with forecasts to 2050: a forecasting study for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Marie, Ng; Gakidou, Emmanuela; Lo, Justin; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abbafati, Cristiana; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2025 , Article)
      BackgroundOverweight and obesity is a global epidemic. Forecasting future trajectories of the epidemic is crucial for providing an evidence base for policy change. In this study, we examine the historical trends of the ...
    • Global, regional, and national prevalence of child and adolescent overweight and obesity, 1990–2021, with forecasts to 2050: a forecasting study for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Jessica A, Kerr; Patton, George C; Cini, Karly I; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abbas, Nasir; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2025 , Article)
      BackgroundDespite the well documented consequences of obesity during childhood and adolescence and future risks of excess body mass on non-communicable diseases in adulthood, coordinated global action on excess body mass ...