• Burden of disease scenarios by state in the USA, 2022–50: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Ali H, Mokdad; Bisignano, Catherine; Hsu, Johnathan M; Bryazka, Dana; Cao, Shujin; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      BackgroundThe capacity to anticipate future health issues is important for both policy makers and practitioners in the USA, as such insights can facilitate effective planning, investment, and implementation strategies. ...
    • Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Stein Emil, Vollset; Ababneh, Hazim S; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abbafati, Cristiana; Abbasgholizadeh, Rouzbeh; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      BackgroundFuture trends in disease burden and drivers of health are of great interest to policy makers and the public at large. This information can be used for policy and long-term health investment, planning, and ...
    • Changing life expectancy in European countries 1990–2021: a subanalysis of causes and risk factors from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Nicholas, Steel; Bauer-Staeb, Clarissa Maria Mercedes; Ford, John A; Abbafati, Cristiana; Abdalla, Mohammed Altigani; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2025 , Article)
      BackgroundDecades of steady improvements in life expectancy in Europe slowed down from around 2011, well before the COVID-19 pandemic, for reasons which remain disputed. We aimed to assess how changes in risk factors and ...
    • Forecasting the effects of smoking prevalence scenarios on years of life lost and life expectancy from 2022 to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Dana, Bryazka; Reitsma, Marissa B; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abd Al Magied, Abdallah H A; Abdelkader, Atef; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      BackgroundSmoking is the leading behavioural risk factor for mortality globally, accounting for more than 175 million deaths and nearly 4·30 billion years of life lost (YLLs) from 1990 to 2021. The pace of decline in smoking ...
    • Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Michael, Brauer; Roth, Gregory A; Aravkin, Aleksandr Y; Zheng, Peng; Abate, Kalkidan Hassen; ... more authors ( Elsevier Ltd. , 2024 , Article)
      Background: Understanding the health consequences associated with exposure to risk factors is necessary to inform public health policy and practice. To systematically quantify the contributions of risk factor exposures to ...
    • Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases and Risks, 1990-2022 

      George A., Mensah; Fuster, Valentin; Murray, Christopher J.L.; Roth, Gregory A.; Mensah, George A.; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2023 , Other)
      The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) is a multinational collaborative research study with >10,000 collaborators around the world. GBD generates a time series of summary measures of health, ...
    • Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Natalia V, Bhattacharjee; Schumacher, Austin E; Aali, Amirali; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abbasgholizadeh, Rouzbeh; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      Background Accurate assessments of current and future fertility—including overall trends and changing population age structures across countries and regions—are essential to help plan for the profound social, economic, ...
    • Global pattern, trend, and cross-country inequality of early musculoskeletal disorders from 1990 to 2019, with projection from 2020 to 2050 

      Yingzhao, Jin; Guo, Cui; Abbasian, Mohammadreza; Abbasifard, Mitra; Abbott, J. Haxby; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      BackgroundThis study aims to estimate the burden, trends, forecasts, and disparities of early musculoskeletal (MSK) disorders among individuals ages 15 to 39 years. MethodsThe global prevalence, years lived with disabilities ...
    • Global, regional, and national burden of asthma and atopic dermatitis, 1990–2021, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Oh, Jiyeon; Kim, Soeun; Kim, Min Seo; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abd ElHafeez, Samar; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2025 , Article)
      BackgroundAsthma and atopic dermatitis are common allergic conditions that contribute to substantial health loss, economic burden, and pain across individuals of all ages worldwide. Therefore, as a component of the Global ...
    • Global, regional, and national burden of disorders affecting the nervous system, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Jaimie D, Steinmetz; Seeher, Katrin Maria; Schiess, Nicoline; Nichols, Emma; Cao, Bochen; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      Background Disorders affecting the nervous system are diverse and include neurodevelopmental disorders, late-life neurodegeneration, and newly emergent conditions, such as cognitive impairment following COVID-19. Previous ...
    • Global, regional, and national burden of HIV/AIDS, 1990–2021, and forecasts to 2050, for 204 countries and territories: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Austin, Carter; Zhang, Meixin; Tram, Khai Hoan; Walters, Magdalene K; Jahagirdar, Deepa; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      BackgroundAs set out in Sustainable Development Goal 3.3, the target date for ending the HIV epidemic as a public health threat is 2030. Therefore, there is a crucial need to evaluate current epidemiological trends and ...
    • Global, Regional, and National Burden of Nontraumatic Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: The Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. 

      Rautalin, Ilari; Volovici, Victor; Stark, Benjamin A; Johnson, Catherine O; Kaprio, Jaakko; ... more authors ( American Medical Association , 2025 , Article)
      Nontraumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) represents the third most common stroke type with unique etiologies, risk factors, diagnostics, and treatments. Nevertheless, epidemiological studies often cluster SAH with other ...
    • Global, regional, and national burden of upper respiratory infections and otitis media, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Sirota, Sarah Brooke; Doxey, Matthew C; Dominguez, Regina-Mae Villanueva; Bender, Rose Grace; Vongpradith, Avina; ... more authors ( Elsevier Ltd. , 2024 , Article)
      Background: Upper respiratory infections (URIs) are the leading cause of acute disease incidence worldwide and contribute to a substantial health-care burden. Although acute otitis media is a common complication of URIs, ...
    • Global, regional, and national prevalence of adult overweight and obesity, 1990–2021, with forecasts to 2050: a forecasting study for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Marie, Ng; Gakidou, Emmanuela; Lo, Justin; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abbafati, Cristiana; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2025 , Article)
      BackgroundOverweight and obesity is a global epidemic. Forecasting future trajectories of the epidemic is crucial for providing an evidence base for policy change. In this study, we examine the historical trends of the ...
    • Global, regional, and national prevalence of kidney failure with replacement therapy and associated aetiologies, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 

      Rafferty, Quinn; Stafford, Lauryn K; Vos, Theo; Thomé, Fernando Saldanha; Aalruz, Hasan; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2025 , Article)
      Background: Kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT) such as dialysis or transplantation represents a severe stage of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and poses a major global health burden. Although many CKD cases are ...
    • National-level and state-level prevalence of overweight and obesity among children, adolescents, and adults in the USA, 1990–2021, and forecasts up to 2050 

      Marie, Ng; Dai, Xiaochen; Cogen, Rebecca M; Abdelmasseh, Michael; Abdollahi, Arash; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      BackgroundOver the past several decades, the overweight and obesity epidemic in the USA has resulted in a significant health and economic burden. Understanding current trends and future trajectories at both national and ...
    • National-level and state-level prevalence of overweight and obesity among children, adolescents, and adults in the USA, 1990–2021, and forecasts up to 2050 

      Marie, Ng; Dai, Xiaochen; Cogen, Rebecca M; Abdelmasseh, Michael; Abdollahi, Arash; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      BackgroundOver the past several decades, the overweight and obesity epidemic in the USA has resulted in a significant health and economic burden. Understanding current trends and future trajectories at both national and ...
    • The burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors by state in the USA, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Mokdad, Ali H.; Bisignano, Catherine; Hsu, Johnathan M.; Ababneh, Hazim S.; Abbasgholizadeh, Rouzbeh; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      Background The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides a comprehensive assessment of health and risk factor trends at global, regional, national, and subnational levels. This study ...