• Forecasting the effects of smoking prevalence scenarios on years of life lost and life expectancy from 2022 to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Dana, Bryazka; Reitsma, Marissa B; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abd Al Magied, Abdallah H A; Abdelkader, Atef; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      BackgroundSmoking is the leading behavioural risk factor for mortality globally, accounting for more than 175 million deaths and nearly 4·30 billion years of life lost (YLLs) from 1990 to 2021. The pace of decline in smoking ...
    • Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Michael, Brauer; Roth, Gregory A; Aravkin, Aleksandr Y; Zheng, Peng; Abate, Kalkidan Hassen; ... more authors ( Elsevier Ltd. , 2024 , Article)
      Background: Understanding the health consequences associated with exposure to risk factors is necessary to inform public health policy and practice. To systematically quantify the contributions of risk factor exposures to ...
    • Global, regional, and national burden of HIV/AIDS, 1990–2021, and forecasts to 2050, for 204 countries and territories: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Austin, Carter; Zhang, Meixin; Tram, Khai Hoan; Walters, Magdalene K; Jahagirdar, Deepa; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2024 , Article)
      BackgroundAs set out in Sustainable Development Goal 3.3, the target date for ending the HIV epidemic as a public health threat is 2030. Therefore, there is a crucial need to evaluate current epidemiological trends and ...
    • Global, regional, and national burden of household air pollution, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Fiona B, Bennitt; Wozniak, Sarah; Causey, Kate; Spearman, Sandra; Okereke, Chukwuma; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2025 , Article)
      BackgroundDespite a substantial reduction in the use of solid fuels for cooking worldwide, exposure to household air pollution (HAP) remains a leading global risk factor, contributing considerably to the burden of disease. ...
    • Global, regional, and national burden of upper respiratory infections and otitis media, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Sirota, Sarah Brooke; Doxey, Matthew C; Dominguez, Regina-Mae Villanueva; Bender, Rose Grace; Vongpradith, Avina; ... more authors ( Elsevier Ltd. , 2024 , Article)
      Background: Upper respiratory infections (URIs) are the leading cause of acute disease incidence worldwide and contribute to a substantial health-care burden. Although acute otitis media is a common complication of URIs, ...
    • Global, regional, and national prevalence of adult overweight and obesity, 1990–2021, with forecasts to 2050: a forecasting study for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Marie, Ng; Gakidou, Emmanuela; Lo, Justin; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abbafati, Cristiana; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2025 , Article)
      BackgroundOverweight and obesity is a global epidemic. Forecasting future trajectories of the epidemic is crucial for providing an evidence base for policy change. In this study, we examine the historical trends of the ...
    • Global, regional, and national prevalence of child and adolescent overweight and obesity, 1990–2021, with forecasts to 2050: a forecasting study for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Jessica A, Kerr; Patton, George C; Cini, Karly I; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abbas, Nasir; ... more authors ( Elsevier , 2025 , Article)
      BackgroundDespite the well documented consequences of obesity during childhood and adolescence and future risks of excess body mass on non-communicable diseases in adulthood, coordinated global action on excess body mass ...
    • Global, regional, and national stillbirths at 20 weeks' gestation or longer in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2021: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 

      Comfort, Haley; McHugh, Theresa A; Schumacher, Austin E; Harris, Ashley; May, Erin A; ... more authors ( Elsevier Ltd. , 2024 , Article)
      Background: Stillbirth is a devastating and often avoidable adverse pregnancy outcome. Monitoring stillbirth levels and trends—in a comprehensive manner that leaves no one uncounted—is imperative for continuing progress ...