Show simple item record

AuthorGarcía Criado, Mariana
AuthorMyers-Smith, Isla H.
AuthorBjorkman, Anne D.
AuthorNormand, Signe
AuthorBlach-Overgaard, Anne
AuthorThomas, Haydn J.D.
AuthorEskelinen, Anu
AuthorHapponen, Konsta
AuthorAlatalo, Juha M.
AuthorAnadon-Rosell, Alba
AuthorAubin, Isabelle
Authorte Beest, Mariska
AuthorBetway-May, Katlyn R.
AuthorBlok, Daan
AuthorBuras, Allan
AuthorCerabolini, Bruno E.L.
AuthorChristie, Katherine
AuthorCornelissen, J. Hans C.
AuthorForbes, Bruce C.
AuthorFrei, Esther R.
AuthorGrogan, Paul
AuthorHermanutz, Luise
AuthorHollister, Robert D.
AuthorHudson, James
AuthorIturrate-Garcia, Maitane
AuthorKaarlejärvi, Elina
AuthorKleyer, Michael
AuthorLamarque, Laurent J.
AuthorLembrechts, Jonas J.
AuthorLévesque, Esther
AuthorLuoto, Miska
AuthorMacek, Petr
AuthorMay, Jeremy L.
AuthorPrevéy, Janet S.
AuthorSchaepman-Strub, Gabriela
AuthorSheremetiev, Serge N.
AuthorSiegwart Collier, Laura
AuthorSoudzilovskaia, Nadejda A.
AuthorTrant, Andrew
AuthorVenn, Susanna E.
AuthorVirkkala, Anna Maria
Available date2023-09-28T07:41:55Z
Publication Date2023-12-01
Publication NameNature Communications
Identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39573-4
CitationGarcía Criado, M., Myers-Smith, I.H., Bjorkman, A.D. et al. Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome. Nat Commun 14, 3837 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39573-4
URIhttps://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85163663396&origin=inward
URIhttp://hdl.handle.net/10576/48018
AbstractClimate change is leading to species redistributions. In the tundra biome, shrubs are generally expanding, but not all tundra shrub species will benefit from warming. Winner and loser species, and the characteristics that may determine success or failure, have not yet been fully identified. Here, we investigate whether past abundance changes, current range sizes and projected range shifts derived from species distribution models are related to plant trait values and intraspecific trait variation. We combined 17,921 trait records with observed past and modelled future distributions from 62 tundra shrub species across three continents. We found that species with greater variation in seed mass and specific leaf area had larger projected range shifts, and projected winner species had greater seed mass values. However, trait values and variation were not consistently related to current and projected ranges, nor to past abundance change. Overall, our findings indicate that abundance change and range shifts will not lead to directional modifications in shrub trait composition, since winner and loser species share relatively similar trait spaces.
SponsorWe thank Alberto S. Ballesteros for fixing picture issues and designing the shrub, leaf, and seed icons. We thank all tundra data collectors and supporting organisations, including members of the International Tundra Experiment Network (ITEX) for their efforts in data collection and for making their data accessible. We are grateful to all trait data collectors who made their data available through the TRY and TTT databases. We thank local and Indigenous peoples for the opportunity to work with data collected on their lands. M.G.C. was supported by the Principal’s Career Development PhD Scholarship from The University of Edinburgh, the Elizabeth Sinclair Irvine Bequest and Centenary Agroforestry 89 Fund, and the BritishSpanish Society Award. I.H.M.-S. was supported by the NERC Shrub Tundra grant (NE/M016323/1). A.D.B. was supported by the Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation (Wallenberg Academy Fellowship 2019). A.B.-O. was supported by VILLUM FONDEN’s Young Investigator Programme (VKR023456 to S.N.), and The Danish Council for Independent Research: Natural Sciences (DFF 4181-00565 to S.N.). B.C.F. was supported by Academy of Finland decision no. 256991, European Commission Research and Innovation Action no. 869471, and JPI-Climate no. 291581. G.S.-S. was supported by the University Research Priority Program on Global Change and Biodiversity of the University of Zurich. A.B. acknowledges the funding received from INTERACT (grant agreement no. 262693), under the European Community’s Seventh Framework Programme. L.H., L.S.C., E.L., and A.T. acknowledge funding from NSERC-NCE ArcticNet. Any use of trade, firm, or product names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.
Languageen
PublisherSpringer
SubjectBiodiversity
Biogeography
Climate-change ecology
Macroecology
TitlePlant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome
TypeArticle
Issue Number1
Volume Number14
ESSN2041-1723
dc.accessType Open Access


Files in this item

Thumbnail

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record