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    Enhancing Influenza Detection through Integrative Machine Learning and Nasopharyngeal Metabolomic Profiling: A Comprehensive Study

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    diagnostics-14-02214-v4.pdf (3.615Mb)
    Date
    2024
    Author
    Sumon, Md. S.
    Hossain, Md S.
    Al-Sulaiti, Haya
    Yassine, Hadi M.
    Chowdhury, Muhammad E. H.
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    Abstract
    Background/Objectives: Nasal and nasopharyngeal swabs are commonly used for detecting respiratory viruses, including influenza, which significantly alters host cell metabolites. This study aimed to develop a machine learning model to identify biomarkers that differentiate between influenza-positive and -negative cases using clinical metabolomics data. Method: A publicly available dataset of 236 nasopharyngeal samples screened via liquid chromatography-quadrupole time-of-flight (LC/Q-TOF) mass spectrometry was used. Among these, 118 samples tested positive for influenza (40 A H1N1, 39 A H3N2, 39 Influenza B), while 118 were negative controls. A stacking-based model was proposed using the top 20 selected features. Thirteen machine learning models were initially trained, and the top three were combined using predicted probabilities to form a stacking classifier. Results: The ExtraTrees stacking model outperformed other models, achieving 97.08% accuracy. External validation on a prospective cohort of 96 symptomatic individuals (48 positive and 48 negatives for influenza) showed 100% accuracy. SHAP values were used to enhance model explainability. Metabolites such as Pyroglutamic Acid (retention time: 0.81 min, m/z: 84.0447) and its in-source fragment ion (retention time: 0.81 min, m/z: 130.0507) showed minimal impact on influenza-positive cases. On the other hand, metabolites with a retention time of 10.34 min and m/z 106.0865, and a retention time of 8.65 min and m/z 211.1376, demonstrated significant positive contributions. Conclusions: This study highlights the effectiveness of integrating metabolomics data with machine learning for accurate influenza diagnosis. The stacking-based model, combined with SHAP analysis, provided robust performance and insights into key metabolites influencing predictions.
    DOI/handle
    http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics14192214
    http://hdl.handle.net/10576/64420
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